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With just five days before January 1, 2000
there is considerably less agitation from the people who a year ago were
routinely predicting anything from financial chaos to the end of
civilization (I'm not exaggerating). Did we just lose sight of these
soothsayers or does it appear that civilization might muddle through
after all?
We can draw final conclusions next week, but the morals here (if
there be any) are:
- Pundits aren't all they're made out to be.
- Folks earning a living out of telling us how awful things are can
usually be relied upon to do so with great vigor and enthusiasm.
- Cultivate a discerning sniffer so you can spot an "overstated
case" when you see it. Once you spot one, divide the
implications of what is said by 3 and you'll usually approximate the
truth.
- Don't overstate your case and you'll be fine.
Remember, you heard it here first. |