| The quickest way I know to
move a room full of travel people to the brink of hysteria is for some
uninformed speaker to have the temerity to suggest that The Internet
will not solve all their problems. A quick glance at seminar programs
and travel publications suggests that only a hopelessly benighted soul
would even suggest that there is anything to talk about in travel
technology other than The Internet.
The "Internet Hysteria" phenomena, not just
in travel circles, has been compared to a gold rush—most of the miners
are starving while they look for gold while the saloons, brothers, and
folks selling books on how to mine make money.
For starters, who exactly is the Internet customer and
what are they buying? Despite what people tell you nobody really knows.
Most statistics seem to have been created to prove
whatever point someone needs to prove, but according to A.C. Nielsen
there are roughly 12 million people in the U.S. actually using The
Internet from their PCs—mostly for e-mail. The vast majority use their
accounts under 1 hour each week (which isn’t time enough for all the
graphics on some web pages to load, let alone buy anything).
Most surveys hypothesize that "heavy users"
of Internet services (the so-called "early adopters") are mid
to upper-income males, of which there might be between 2 and 4 million
nationally. This explains at least partially what people are believed to
be buying on The Internet.
According a 1996 estimate of Internet commerce
American consumers spend about $500 million annually in three main
areas: computer products, travel, and "adult" entertainment.
Shouldn’t we be encouraged that travel ranks #2? Not
really; we’re dealing with tiny numbers of customers, not a flood of
potential new business.
Despite the pervasive nature of travel services on the
WEB these days few Internet sellers deliver any real value, meaning
something that readily available online and nowhere else. The
"early adopters" may invest the time and energy necessary to
extract some value from Internet-based travel sales, but the effort
required are usually disproportionate to the reward; hardly a recipe for
a sustainable, expanding business.
Can’t The Internet be used to advertise and
"convey image?" That’s one of its main purposes today—mostly
advertising for the computer industry. However, one study estimates
Internet-based advertising profit at 1/10 of 1% of that realized
nationally.
The Internet customer is far too anonymous (despite
what people tell you) and the market far too limited for much meaningful
advertising progress to take place now.
What exactly is the "image" that is being
conveyed? Most Internet advertising is downright miserable, ineffective,
and irritating. That’s not just my opinion: its been voiced frequently
by experts in the field.
I once casually observed that travel advertising was
not immune from this sorry picture and was promptly chastised as being
"out of touch", as having a web site allows an airline, for
example, (even though the site is filled with little more than pictures
of airplanes and smiling people) to "establish its identity as an
airline."
Huh? Usually one associates an airline’s identity
with flying airplanes, not with pictures on a computer.
The Internet does have a place (an expanding one) as
one tool among many that travel businesses can and should use, but it
needs to be viewed in proper perspective and not assumed to be the
electronic savior of all segments of the travel industry, which it
clearly is not.
There’s important work to be done refining
Internet-based travel products that do deliver value and integrate
tightly into the way businesses and customers behave, ways to pay and
account for those services, and ways to refine the advertising message
before The Internet can bring anything approaching the benefits many
people expect to travel.
Businesses commit a serious error if they ignore all
potential distribution channels, including electronic ones, but its
equally bad to confuse some of today’s "net-work" with the
real work required to adapt a business to the challenges of the 90s. |