|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]() |
They sound familiar because they've come to be widely accepted
by the travel and technology industries, or they have been proven right
over time. You heard them here first in any case. Here are just a
few of the predictions, forecasts, and strategic assessments I've made over
the years in print that gave you early warning of what was going to happen--if
you were reading these pages. Often you would have had five or ten years
to plan and make adjustments to your business or technology position.
You'll find this analysis scrolling on the left of the
Publications Library, where the original source
material is also found. You may also view Heard Here First! summarized on
one page by Clicking Here. |
|
![]() |
If we've never met, please take time to read my biography so we can become better acquainted.
|
|
![]() |
Together with my associates, I offer comprehensive, affordable,
and practical consulting services
addressing all manner of real-world business challenges. The emphasis
is always upon developing appropriate strategies and solutions for each
situation that you can afford. You may gather elsewhere in these pages that
accepted conventional wisdom, business school-speak, and boiler-plate answers
are not part of my thinking. Please use the buttons to download information on Technical Reality's expertise and capabilities and a summary of who we are contained in "Information at a Glance." An area that may be new to you is Executive Briefings. Learn how you, your management, directors, and staff can access leading edge technological, strategic, and business-oriented information especially tailored to your practices and situation.Please
contact us to discuss
your situation, needs, or questions. |
|
![]() |
If you're so inclined you can follow my publications regardless of where they appear. Please visit the subscriptions page for more information. You'll find instructions there about how to subscribe to my free electronic newsletter that provide periodic travel technology and strategy highlights--focusing on each of these key areas.
|
|
|
|
||
|
For several years I have offered a free periodic travel technology strategy newsletter. This is your invitation to subscribe to this free service, which I call TechNotes. There's much happening the travel industry at the moment. Far from determining what's important and what isn't, often it's difficult to decide simply what is really happening. I would appreciate your subscribing to this free service so that I might have the privilege of sharing my views with you and other colleagues. The newsletter is of interest to executives, managers, principals, developers and technology officers, analysts and investors, educators, and others with an interest in leading edge travel industry technology developments. I can promise you a fresh, insightful, and contrarian viewpoint that you probably are not hearing through other media. To subscribe, please click the button above and send the completed e-mail that will appear. You need add nothing further to the e-mail. You may also use the subscription form found above to subscribe to any or all of my publications. Thank you in advance for your participation. I'm confident
you'll appreciate being part of this list. |
||
![]() |
Here are selected pieces from my
publication library. They're
chosen to illustrate the original contrarian viewpoints expressed here that,
over time, become part of accepted thinking. You'll find an extensive selection
of published material here. |
|
So What Do I Do Now? |
So many companies in the travel industry have or are poised to take drastic measures to deal with the current crisis of confidence in the travel industry and tourism generally. A business catastrophe seems inevitable ... but do the business leaders who are marching toward the edge of the abyss really know what they're doing? After September 11, 2001's outrages, a series of difficult decisions are before the travel industry even now, it's time to pause and seriously consider: "Where do I go from here?" Is there a business strategy that can carry me through or
is it time to take up farming? |
|
Elusive Productivity Improvements |
You've probably heard about the latest scheme
for boosting workstation productivity to new heights. In this commentary
I offer the contrarian view as to why these developments have not succeeded
and are not likely to anytime soon. |
|
The Unknown Electronic Travel Client |
No business segment is less well understood.
Here's why most people are asking the wrong questions (if they ask
any at all)--and how to get on the right track. |
|
Reinventing The Deal |
The old "deal" is gone for good. The travel business as it developed throughout the 1970s and 1980s changed radically in the last half of the 1990s and is in for still more substantial changes over the next few years. This presentation discusses what's wrong with the industry--and how you can change your thinking to adapt. There are several forecasts and predictions for the immediate future. You'll see first-hand what constitute some serious strategic
failings of the travel industry and how you can use your competitor's failure
to recognize these and adapt accordingly to your competitive advantage. |
|
The Electronic Free Market |
Internet-based e-commerce is not the cause
of travel agency commission cuts. Suppliers are reducing and eliminating
commissions because they can. Read my commentary on why this is not inevitable
and what the fundamental causes are. |
|
Cyber-Doom Wizards |
According to some predictions, travel distribution
is destined to be dominated by a few IPO-rich start-ups that will put most
agencies out of business in a few years. Hardly. Here's why. |
|
Internet Reality |
What was the quickest way to make a
room full of travel agents angry? Tell them that the Internet would not
solve all their problems. Times have changed and
this view is no longer widely
held. Here are my predictions several years ago as to why the Internet
was not a panacea for all travel business ills, and a discussion of "Internet
Hysteria" and what it means to travel distribution. |
|
Travel Distribution Intermediaries |
What is disintermediation and how does it affect
the travel industry? Learn who is at risk in the evolving interactive economy
and why. |
|
Hotel Valhalla |
This piece puts the e-commerce potential for
the hotel industry into proper perspective and corrects numerous popular
misconceptions. |
|
Open CRS Platform |
Here are my comments on the so-called "Open
CRS Platform" and what the "open" concept really means. |
|
Electronic Ticketing Conspiracies |
Are electronic tickets a "conspiracy" to put
travel agents out of business? This article discusses this and related irrational
notions. |
|
Technology Leadership |
I published these thoughts on the appropriate
role of leadership (as opposed to simple "management" in technology a number
of years ago. In this day of "free money" through the latest Internet stock
venture, perhaps its time to ponder why
It Calls For A Real Leader. There's
a brief historical video clip available on this page that helps illustrate
the point. |
|
Making Online Money Is Nice, Too |
A few thoughts on why the pundits are wrong
about the time being right for the next round of travel Internet IPOs. |
|
Cyber-Doom Delayed Again |
Tired of hearing that so-called "old-line"
businesses can't compete? Here's some commentary on the subject, illustrated
by recent business events. |
|
Too Late For Online Agencies? |
The experts are telling you it's too late to
compete as an online agency. They're wrong, but not for the reasons you
think. See my published pieces,
"Too Late For Online Agencies?"
and "The $20 Billion Cynic" for more
information. |
|
Electronic Travel Commerce |
Don't miss my discussion of electronic commerce,
"New Tools For Travel Agents."
This piece discusses interactive technology's true potential for retail
travel distribution, and how you can understand emerging trends. This piece
presents a view of this topic you probably haven't heard discussed in the
travel community very often. |
|
![]() |
|
|
|
Technical Reality Is |
|
|
||
|
|
What Does This Mean? |
|
|